How the pandemic has reshaped the property market
The pandemic has caused a seismic shift in the real estate industry, not only in Australia and New Zealand but also globally.
Whether it was the economic and employment-based effects of city and state lockdowns, the introduction of government home-buying and building incentives and the increasing popularity of regional living and low-density housing, the era of COVID has left its legacy on the composition of buyers and dynamics of the housing market.
The two years since the pandemic have been tumultuous, but also lucrative for investors and the industry as a whole. We highlight the key points from a CoreLogic report that provides a snapshot of the effects of the pandemic within the marketplace.
Home values eclipse previous records, rising to 25 per cent
Despite an initial dip, housing values rose 24.6 per cent between the end of March 2020 and February 2022.
Cumulative change evidenced in the CoreLogic Home Value Index since the onset of COVID-19 shows a relatively small decline at the onset of COVID-19. For example, sales and listings volumes are far more affected than prices.
Home values declined -2.1 per cent between April 2020 and September 2020, before soaring amid low-interest rates, high household savings, government grants and a sharp reduction in the supply of housing.
By February 2022, CoreLogic estimated the total value of the residential real estate to be $9.8 trillion, up from $7.2 trillion at the onset of the pandemic. The total value of the residential real estate in New Zealand is estimated at $1.72 trillion.
Rents rose 11.8 per cent to record highs while yields fell to record lows
Annual rent value growth throughout 2021 was at its highest level since 2008. Median advertised rents in Australia have increased from $30 per week to $470 per week. In New Zealand, that figure is closer to $530 for a four-bedroom home.
For investors who have recently purchased long-term rental accommodation, rents may have increased due to higher purchasing prices.
Through the pandemic, there has been a clear shift in rental preferences toward lower-density housing options, where the upwards pressure on rents has been more substantial. This trend has evolved over the past year, with rental affordability gradually deflecting more demand towards higher-density rental options, where the cost of renting is more affordable.
Housing debt levels scale new heights
However, gross rental yields have declined. This is because gross rental yields are a portion of the purchase price of a property — and purchase prices of properties have grown 24.6 per cent since March 2020, outpacing the 11.8 per cent rise in rents.
As housing growth has started to slow, record-low gross rent yields appear to have begun stabilising.
Although total outstanding credit reached over $2 trillion in January, data shows monthly new finance borrowed for the purchase of property continued to hit fresh record highs through January 2022, at $33.7 billion.
High levels of housing debt, particularly where it has grown faster than incomes, create vulnerability in the economy. However, it is important to frame debt levels in the context of high asset values and relatively low-interest costs.
Official data shows housing interest payments to income have fallen to their lowest levels since 1999 — and household debt has trended lower as a portion of housing values.
How to navigate the post-pandemic market trends
To gain a further understanding of how you can adapt and capitalise on the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on the property industry, we’d love to chat or speak to your financial planner or finance broker.